Re-intensification of Ex Tropical Cyclone Lincoln posing Threat to WA
Cyclone Update: 6:32 AM Thursday, February 22, 2024 Australian Western Standard Time (AWST)
Ex-Tropical Cyclone Lincoln, labeled as 07U, is currently looming offshore of the west Kimberley coast and is expected to re-develop into a tropical cyclone as it moves west southwestward.
This weather system poses potential risks to coastal regions, particularly around the far west Pilbara or Gascoyne coast.
Redeveloping Cyclone Lincoln Impact
Forecasters anticipate its potential landfall between Roebourne to Ningaloo Coast around Onslow, Exmouth, and Coral Bay region. Landfall date expected to be February 23 (late)- 24 with peak intensity. So, it is crucial for residents and industrial projects in these areas to take precautionary measures and remain vigilant.
Potential Model Track of Cyclone Lincoln: Tropicaltidbits 
BoM Track of Cyclone Lincoln: Bureau of Meteorology
Note: Cyclone Intensity Category is on Australian Scale
Forecast Table of Potential Cyclone Lincoln: Bureau of Meteorology
Issued at 2:32 am AWST Thursday 22 February 2024
| Time (AWST) | Intensity Category | Latitude (decimal deg.) |
Longitude (decimal deg.) |
Estimated Position Accuracy (km) |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0hr | 2 am February 22 | tropical low | 15.8S | 121.5E | 45 |
| +6hr | 8 am February 22 | tropical low | 16.0S | 120.4E | 70 |
| +12hr | 2 pm February 22 | tropical low | 16.4S | 119.3E | 95 |
| +18hr | 8 pm February 22 | tropical low | 17.0S | 118.2E | 105 |
| +24hr | 2 am February 23 | 1 | 17.5S | 116.8E | 115 |
| +36hr | 2 pm February 23 | 1 | 18.6S | 114.6E | 130 |
| +48hr | 2 am February 24 | 2 | 20.3S | 113.5E | 165 |
| +60hr | 2 pm February 24 | 2 | 22.7S | 113.2E | 185 |
| +72hr | 2 am February 25 | 1 | 24.9S | 114.0E | 220 |
Note: Cyclone Intensity Category is on Australian Scale
Understanding the Forecast of the Potential Cyclone
Ex-Tropical Cyclone Lincoln has the potential to redevelop into a tropical cyclone within 24-48hrs. It is gaining intensity over open waters west of the Kimberley and north of the Pilbara.
The trajectory suggests a movement towards the extreme west Pilbara coast by late Friday or Saturday, with subsequent weakening as it moves further inland by Sunday.
However, the situation may escalate as the cyclone gains intensity over water, posing risks upon potential landfall along the coasts across Onslow, Exmouth, and Coral Bay region.
Official BoM Forecast: Australian Bureau of Meteorology Tropical Cyclone Advice
Potential Risks and Impacts by Re-intensification of Ex Tropical Cyclone Lincoln
Ex-Tropical Cyclone Lincoln is likely to peak intensity upon reaching the coast. The residential areas and industrial projects in the vicinity could face substantial risks and damages.
While the current trajectory may not immediately pose severe threats, vigilance remains crucial as the cyclone’s path evolves. It’s essential for communities to stay informed and prepared to mitigate potential impacts and ensure safety.
See Also: Cyclone Lincoln: All set to Re-intensify into a Tropical Cyclone Thursday
Local Weather: Sydney Weather: Daily Thunderstorms in forecast for a Couple of Days
More on: NSW Weather: Severe Thunderstorm Warning for Multiple NSW Districts
Precautionary Measures for Residents
Residents in potentially affected areas are advised to take proactive measures to safeguard themselves and their properties. Here are some safety tips to consider:
1. Stay Informed: Keep an eye on weather forecasts and advisories provided by local authorities. Stay tuned to official channels for updates on the cyclone’s trajectory and any evacuation orders.
2. Prepare an Emergency Kit: Stock up on essential supplies, including non-perishable food, water, medications, batteries, flashlights, and first aid supplies. Ensure that your emergency kit is easily accessible and ready to use.
3. Secure Property: Take steps to secure your home and belongings. Trim trees and branches that could pose a risk during strong winds. Secure outdoor furniture, loose objects, and debris that could become projectiles in high winds.
4. Create an Evacuation Plan: Familiarize yourself with evacuation routes and designated shelters in your area. Have a plan in place for evacuating your home safely, and ensure that family members are aware of the plan.
5. Stay Indoors: During the cyclone, stay indoors and away from windows and glass doors. Seek shelter in a sturdy part of your home, such as a hallway or interior room, and avoid going outside until authorities have given the all-clear.
Summery of This Forecast:
Ex-Tropical Cyclone Lincoln poses potential risks to coastal regions of WA, and it’s essential for residents to take precautionary measures and stay informed.
By preparing an emergency kit, securing property, creating an evacuation plan, and staying indoors during the cyclone, communities can better mitigate the potential impacts of this weather event. Stay safe, stay informed, and be prepared.
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