As of 15:00 UTC on November 17, 2024, Typhoon 25W (Man-Yi) has been downgraded from a super typhoon but remains a significant weather system. The typhoon is currently located near 16.6°N, 120.7°E, approximately 121 nautical miles north of Manila, Philippines.

The storm is moving northwest at a speed of 14 knots. The maximum sustained winds are estimated at 90 knots (167 km/h), with gusts reaching up to 110 knots (204 km/h).

Impact of Typhoon Man-Yi in the Philippines

Man-Yi made landfall in the northern part of Baler Bay near Dipaculao at 130 knots (241 km/h) as a Super Typhoon. Since then, it has weakened significantly due to frictional effects over rough terrain.

Despite weakening, the system remains hazardous, with heavy rain and strong winds reported across affected areas.

Typhoon Man-Yi Forecast and Trajectory

TY Man-Yi is forecast to move back over water shortly and continue a northwestward path for the next 12 hours. Here’s the projected timeline:

1. 12-Hour Forecast (18:00 UTC on November 18):

   • Location: 18.0°N, 118.4°E
   • Maximum Sustained Winds: 70 knots (130 km/h) with gusts of 85 knots (157 km/h).

2. 24-Hour Forecast (18:00 UTC on November 18):

   • Location: 18.6°N, 116.1°E
   • Expected winds: 65 knots (120 km/h) with gradual weakening.

3. 36-Hour Forecast:

   • The system will further weaken to 50 knots (93 km/h) as it continues moving westward.

4. 96-Hour Forecast (November 21):

   • Location: 16.7°N, 108.0°E.
   • The storm is expected to dissipate near the coastline of Central Vietnam.

Factors Contributing to Weakening 

• Land Interaction: Frictional effects as the system passed over rough terrain.
• Increased Wind Shear: TY Man-Yi is encountering 10–15 knots of vertical wind shear, which is expected to intensify.
• Dry Air Intrusion: Dry mid-level air from the southwest will suppress convective activity.

Warnings and Precautions 

Coastal Areas: Communities in the Philippines, South China Sea, and coastal Vietnam should remain vigilant. Strong winds, heavy rainfall, and storm surges are possible.

Mariners: Wind radii indicate dangerous conditions, particularly over open water, with 34-knot winds extending up to 240 nautical miles in the northeast quadrant.

Long-Term Outlook For TY Man-Yi

The Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) predicts that Man-Yi will dissipate completely within 96 hours. However, varying model predictions suggest potential deviations in the storm’s path.

Conclusion

Typhoon Man-Yi’s rapid evolution from a super typhoon to a weakening system highlights the importance of timely updates and preparedness. Stay tuned for further updates, and follow local authorities’ advice to ensure safety.

FAQs on TY Man-Yi

1. When did Typhoon Man-Yi make landfall?
Man-Yi made landfall on November 17, 2024, in northern Baler Bay near Dipaculao.

2. What are the current wind speeds?
The storm has sustained winds of 90 knots (167 km/h) and gusts of 110 knots (204 km/h).

3. Is Typhoon Man-Yi expected to affect Vietnam?
Yes, Man-Yi is forecast to weaken further and potentially dissipate near Central Vietnam by November 21, 2024.

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